Obama: Expensive Revolution
February 15, 2008
The excitement surrounding the Obama campaign is intoxicating. The number of traditional Republicans considering Obama as a viable alternative to McCain is shocking. The truth is, very few Republicans consider McCain to be a true Republican. In Arizona, exit polls showed McCain won a majority of votes cast by Democrats over Starky (his Democrat opponent) in the last Senate race.
Obama is an appealing candidate. I honestly believe electing an African American would send a message around the world that America truly is the greatest country in the world. But at what cost? If you have reviewed Obama’s tax plan you understand that it will be a VERY expensive message. For those of you who are unfamiliar with the plan here it is (from WSJ):
39.6 percent personal income tax,
52.2 percent combined income and payroll tax
28 percent capital-gains tax,
39.6 percent dividends tax,
and a 55 percent estate tax.
If Obama gets his way I WILL change my behavior. My businesses WILL change their behavior. I am afraid that his tax policy will not only cost me more money on its face (something I could get over), but that it will severely impact the macro economy. Lawrence Kudlow explains,
A President Obama would steer us in the social-market direction of Western Europe, which has produced only stagnant economies down through the years. It would be quite an irony. While newly emerging nations in Eastern Europe and Asia are lowering the tax penalties on capital — and reaping the economic rewards — Obama would raise them.
Russia has lit a fire under their economy, and don’t fool yourself that it is all about oil, Putin lowered tax rates to a flat 15% and as a result tax revenues have increased ten fold. Get that? RUSSIA implemented a flat tax before we did? Kennedy figured this out (remember that rising tide lifts all boats commentary?) in the 60s when he lowered taxes. Reagan figured this out in the 80s when he lowered taxes. But here we are in 2008 considering a candidate that thinks taxing capital will increase revenues. Um, capital formation is the only way we have been able to build these cool businesses that employ the cool people that pay the cool taxes we collect. Screw up the capital side and the smartest most ambitious people on the planet won’t be able to fix anything.
My point? I am not sure. I would love to vote for Obama if he would simply agree to keep spending in line (i.e. he would agree not to increase it over current levels) and keep tax rates fixed. I think it would he would be great for the U.S. and for the world at large. If Obama agrees we can deliver the Republican votes he will need to win ~ McCain has given so much to this country, it is time for us to let him retire. Don’t make him serve the last days of his life saving us from Obama’s misguided tax policy.
